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Philadelphia 76ers at Utah Jazz: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Utah Jazz →

The Win Meter favors the 76ers on the road against the Jazz on Tuesday, March 23, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 69%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 117, Utah Jazz 112. The rating gap is 235 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.

Recent form

The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Jazz are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.4.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.

Offense against defense

The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Jazz score 112.8 and allow 121. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.5 for the 76ers and 109.9 for the Jazz, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Jazz have been tough to score on, which should slow the 76ers.

The Jazz should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI), Joel Embiid (PHI), Jaxson Hayes (UTA), and Lauri Markkanen (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 4-0, with the 76ers outscoring the Jazz by an average of 5.2 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 126, UTA 116.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin
Jazz1-4, -11.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
110
112.8
Points allowed
107
121
Matchup math
115.5
109.9
■ 76ers■ Jazz

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the 76ers: about 115.5 points expected against 109.9.
  • The 76ers arrive in better form (L-W-W-W-L against L-L-W-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Jazz.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 21: PHI 126, UTA 116
  • Mar 4: UTA 102, PHI 106
  • Mar 9: UTA 122, PHI 126
  • Dec 28: PHI 114, UTA 111

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28
Utah Jazz
  • Jusuf Nurkic Out · back Nov 4
  • Trey Alexander Out · back Oct 28
  • Jaxson Hayes Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Lauri Markkanen Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

69%
31%
76ersJazz

Projected score: 76ers 117, Jazz 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

69%
31%
76ersJazz

Matchup at a glance

PHIUTA
Record3-11-3
Last 5LWWWLLLWLL
Points per game110112.8
Allowed per game107121
Days of rest––
Rating15461311

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