The Win Meter favors the Hornets on the road against the Grizzlies on Monday, March 22, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hornets 61%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 116, Memphis Grizzlies 113. The rating gap is 181 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Hornets are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.8. The Grizzlies are 4-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +1.6.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 132-101 on the road by HOU not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hornets score 104 a game and allow 111. The Grizzlies score 116.8 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 105.5 for the Hornets and 113.9 for the Grizzlies, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Grizzlies should find points against the Hornets' defense, which has been giving up 111.
Injuries to watch
Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, and Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Hornets outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 0.5 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 101, CHA 124.