The edge goes to the Bulls at home against the Kings on Monday, March 22, at about 67%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bulls 67%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 112, Chicago Bulls 117. The rating gap is 26 points in favor of the Bulls, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 33 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10. The Bulls are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -19.2.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Kings score 109.3 a game and allow 124. The Bulls score 110.8 and allow 129.5. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 119.4 for the Kings and 117.4 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Kings.
The Kings have defended better than the Bulls have scored, so the Bulls may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Keegan Murray (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, and Sean Pedulla (SAC).
Day to day or questionable: Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Bulls outscoring the Kings by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 110, SAC 126.