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Portland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Phoenix Suns →

The Win Meter favors the Suns at home against the Trail Blazers on Sunday, March 21, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Suns 59%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 113, Phoenix Suns 116. The rating gap is 36 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Trail Blazers would win.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Suns are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -12.8.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Chris Youngblood (POR), expected back Oct 29, 2026, Jayson Kent (POR), Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 30, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Branden Carlson (POR) and Scoot Henderson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Trail Blazers lead 5-4, with the Trail Blazers outscoring the Suns by an average of 5.1 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 83, POR 124.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Suns1-4, -12.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Suns.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: PHX 83, POR 124
  • Apr 14: POR 114, PHX 110
  • Feb 22: POR 92, PHX 77
  • Feb 3: PHX 130, POR 125
  • Nov 18: PHX 127, POR 110

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Out · back Oct 29
  • Branden Carlson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Scoot Henderson Questionable · back Oct 27
  • Jayson Kent Out
Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Out · back Oct 30

Win Meter

41%
59%
Trail BlazersSuns

Projected score: Trail Blazers 113, Suns 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
Trail BlazersSuns

Matchup at a glance

PORPHX
Record2-01-2
Last 5LLLWWLLLWL
Points per game126109.3
Allowed per game101.5123.7
Days of rest––
Rating15441508

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