Our ratings lean toward the Raptors on the road against the Jazz on Sunday, March 21, at about 69%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 69%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 117, Utah Jazz 112. The rating gap is 236 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Jazz would win.
Recent form
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Jazz are 1-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.4.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Jazz score 112.8 and allow 121. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.4 for the Raptors and 108.3 for the Jazz, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Jazz have been tough to score on, which should slow the Raptors.
The Jazz should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Jaxson Hayes (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kawhi Leonard (TOR), Lauri Markkanen (UTA), and Jaren Jackson Jr. (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 4-0, with the Raptors outscoring the Jazz by an average of 10 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 143, UTA 127.