Atlanta Hawks at LA Clippers on Saturday, March 20 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 57%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 57%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 114, LA Clippers 115. The rating gap is 54 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 121 a game and allow 111.8. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115.4 for the Hawks and 112.4 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Hawks' offense is the stronger unit against the Clippers' defense.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 3-1, with the Clippers outscoring the Hawks by an average of 17.3 points per game. The last meeting was LAC 115, ATL 92.