Denver Nuggets at Orlando Magic on Saturday, March 20 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Magic at only 57%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Magic 57%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 114, Orlando Magic 115. The rating gap is 52 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Cameron Johnson (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Alpha Diallo (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 3-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Magic by an average of 11.2 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 126, ORL 127.