The edge goes to the Timberwolves on the road against the Jazz on Thursday, March 18, at about 75%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 75%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Utah Jazz 111. The rating gap is 286 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +7.6. The Jazz are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Timberwolves score 122 a game and allow 105. The Jazz score 115.3 and allow 124.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.4 for the Timberwolves and 110.2 for the Jazz, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Jazz should find points against the Timberwolves' defense, which has been giving up 105.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kobe Bufkin (UTA), and Jaxson Hayes (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Anthony Edwards (MIN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 6-2, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Jazz by an average of 17.4 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 111, MIN 147.