The Win Meter favors the Nuggets at home against the Cavaliers on Thursday, March 18, at about 66%. That is a real edge, but the Cavaliers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 66%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 113, Denver Nuggets 117. The rating gap is 13 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nuggets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 34 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.4. The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 4-0, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Nuggets by an average of 8.2 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 119, DEN 117.