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Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → New Orleans Pelicans →

Recent form is the story in Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday, March 18. The Hornets have won 3 of their last 5, while the Pelicans have won 0.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 57%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 116, New Orleans Pelicans 114. The rating gap is 150 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 43 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.

The recent-form gap

The Hornets are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.8. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Hornets score 104 a game and allow 111. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116 for the Hornets and 117.9 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Hornets.

The Pelicans should find points against the Hornets' defense, which has been giving up 111.

Injuries to watch

Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 31, 2026, Kylan Boswell (CHA), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Hornets outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 7.5 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 95, CHA 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -11.8 avg margin
Pelicans0-5, -8.4 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
104
124.7
Points allowed
111
128
Matchup math
116
117.9
■ Hornets■ Pelicans

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (L-W-L-W-W against L-L-L-L-L).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pelicans.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 2: NOP 95, CHA 102
  • Nov 4: CHA 112, NOP 116
  • Mar 30: CHA 94, NOP 98
  • Jan 25: NOP 92, CHA 123

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 31
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 31
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 31
  • Kylan Boswell Out · back Nov 2
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi Out · back Nov 2

Win Meter

57%
43%
HornetsPelicans

Projected score: Hornets 116, Pelicans 114

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

57%
43%
HornetsPelicans

Matchup at a glance

CHANOP
Record3-10-3
Last 5LWLWWLLLLL
Points per game104124.7
Allowed per game111128
Days of rest––
Rating15581408

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