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Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Wizards: preview and Win Meter

Philadelphia 76ers → Washington Wizards →

The edge goes to the 76ers on the road against the Wizards on Thursday, March 18, at about 71%. That is a real edge, but the Wizards are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 71%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 117, Washington Wizards 112. The rating gap is 253 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Wizards on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Wizards are 2-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Offense against defense

The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Wizards score 114.3 and allow 114.5. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 112.3 for the 76ers and 110.7 for the Wizards, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Wizards should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.

Injuries to watch

Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Tristan Vukcevic (WAS), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Jamir Watkins (WAS), expected back Apr 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI), Joel Embiid (PHI), and Justin Champagnie (WAS). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 6-1, with the 76ers outscoring the Wizards by an average of 12.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 153, WAS 131.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin
Wizards2-3, -2.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
110
114.3
Points allowed
107
114.5
Matchup math
112.3
110.7
■ 76ers■ Wizards

Keys to the game

  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Wizards.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 1: PHI 153, WAS 131
  • Jan 7: WAS 110, PHI 131
  • Dec 2: WAS 102, PHI 121
  • Oct 28: PHI 139, WAS 134
  • Apr 9: PHI 122, WAS 103

Injury report

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28
Washington Wizards
  • Tristan Vukcevic Out · back Nov 2
  • Jamir Watkins Out · back Apr 2
  • AJ Dybantsa Out · back Oct 28
  • Justin Champagnie Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

71%
29%
76ersWizards

Projected score: 76ers 117, Wizards 112

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

71%
29%
76ersWizards

Matchup at a glance

PHIWAS
Record3-12-2
Last 5LWWWLLWLWL
Points per game110114.3
Allowed per game107114.5
Days of rest––
Rating15461293

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