Our ratings lean toward the Hawks on the road against the Jazz on Wednesday, March 17, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the Jazz are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hawks 72%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 117, Utah Jazz 112. The rating gap is 260 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Jazz are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hawks score 124.7 a game and allow 109. The Jazz score 115.3 and allow 124.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 124.7 for the Hawks and 112.2 for the Jazz, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Jazz should find points against the Hawks' defense, which has been giving up 109.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, RayJ Dennis (ATL), Keshon Gilbert (ATL), and Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jock Landale (ATL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 4-0, with the Hawks outscoring the Jazz by an average of 7 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 119, ATL 121.