Brooklyn Nets at Houston Rockets on Wednesday, March 17 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Rockets about a 91% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Rockets 91%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 107, Houston Rockets 122. The rating gap is 312 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Rockets on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 11 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Nets score 111 a game and allow 123.7. The Rockets score 121 and allow 111.3. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 111.2 for the Nets and 122.4 for the Rockets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Joshua Jefferson (BKN), Grant Nelson (BKN), Drake Powell (BKN), and Ben Saraf (BKN).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Rockets outscoring the Nets by an average of 9.5 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 120, BKN 96.