Sacramento Kings at Boston Celtics on Tuesday, March 16 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Celtics about a 89% chance, and the Kings would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Celtics 89%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 108, Boston Celtics 121. The rating gap is 269 points in favor of the Celtics, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Celtics on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 9 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10. The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Keegan Murray (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, and Sean Pedulla (SAC).
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 3-1, with the Celtics outscoring the Kings by an average of 8.5 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 93, BOS 112.