Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, March 15 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 56%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 115, Memphis Grizzlies 114. The rating gap is 141 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Grizzlies are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.6.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Drew Timme (PHX).
Day to day or questionable: Karim Lopez (MEM) and Isaiah Stewart (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 5-2, with the Suns outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 3.9 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 131, MEM 105.