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Orlando Magic at Chicago Bulls: preview and Win Meter

Orlando Magic → Chicago Bulls →

The Win Meter favors the Magic on the road against the Bulls on Monday, March 15, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 60%, with a projected score of Orlando Magic 116, Chicago Bulls 113. The rating gap is 167 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

Recent form

The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Magic score 109.7 a game and allow 116.3. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 118.9 for the Magic and 115.5 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Magic.

Injuries to watch

Out: Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Noah Penda (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026, Paolo Banchero (ORL), expected back Nov 22, 2026, and Jalen Suggs (ORL), expected back Nov 10, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Bulls lead 4-3, with the Magic outscoring the Bulls by an average of 2.7 points per game. The last meeting was ORL 127, CHI 103.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Magic1-4, -11.2 avg margin
Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
109.7
114.7
Points allowed
116.3
128
Matchup math
118.9
115.5
■ Magic■ Bulls

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Magic: about 118.9 points expected against 115.5.
  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bulls.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 10: ORL 127, CHI 103
  • Jan 2: ORL 114, CHI 121
  • Dec 1: CHI 120, ORL 125
  • Oct 25: CHI 110, ORL 98
  • Mar 6: CHI 125, ORL 123

Injury report

Orlando Magic
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
  • Jalen Suggs Out · back Nov 10
Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Available
  • Patrick Williams Out · back Oct 28

Win Meter

60%
40%
MagicBulls

Projected score: Magic 116, Bulls 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

60%
40%
MagicBulls

Matchup at a glance

ORLCHI
Record1-21-2
Last 5LLLLWLLLWL
Points per game109.7114.7
Allowed per game116.3128
Days of rest––
Rating15381371

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