Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets on Monday, March 15 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Pacers at only 51%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Pacers 51%, with a projected score of Indiana Pacers 115, Brooklyn Nets 114. The rating gap is 104 points in favor of the Pacers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Nets on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 49 times in 100 games like this, the Nets would win.
Recent form
The Pacers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8. The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pacers score 121.3 a game and allow 116.7. The Nets score 111 and allow 123.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 122.5 for the Pacers and 113.9 for the Nets, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pacers have defended better than the Nets have scored, so the Nets may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027, Ben Sheppard (IND), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Ivica Zubac (IND), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 30, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kobe Brown (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Pacers lead 6-2, with the Pacers outscoring the Nets by an average of 8.5 points per game. The last meeting was IND 136, BKN 109.