Game preview · Mon 5:00 PM MT

Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Toronto Raptors → Philadelphia 76ers →

The Win Meter favors the 76ers at home against the Raptors on Monday, March 15, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Raptors are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 64%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 113, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Raptors would win.

Recent form

The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.

The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.

The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 110.4 for the Raptors and 106.9 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Raptors' offense is the stronger unit against the 76ers' defense.

The 76ers should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.

Injuries to watch

Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Kawhi Leonard (TOR), Jabari Walker (PHI), and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 6-2, with the Raptors outscoring the 76ers by an average of 3.6 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 115, TOR 102.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Raptors3-2, +4 avg margin
76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
113.7
110
Points allowed
103.7
107
Matchup math
110.4
106.9
■ Raptors■ 76ers

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Raptors: about 110.4 points expected against 106.9.
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Jan 12: PHI 115, TOR 102
  • Jan 11: PHI 115, TOR 116
  • Nov 19: TOR 121, PHI 112
  • Nov 8: TOR 120, PHI 130
  • Mar 30: TOR 127, PHI 109

Injury report

Toronto Raptors
  • Nate Bittle Out · back Oct 28
  • Kawhi Leonard Day to day · back Oct 28
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

36%
64%
Raptors76ers

Projected score: Raptors 113, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

36%
64%
Raptors76ers

Matchup at a glance

TORPHI
Record2-13-1
Last 5WLWWLLWWWL
Points per game113.7110
Allowed per game103.7107
Days of rest––
Rating15471546

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