Our ratings lean toward the Cavaliers on the road against the Kings on Sunday, March 14, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 68%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 117, Sacramento Kings 112. The rating gap is 234 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 6, 2026, and Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 10, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Kings outscoring the Cavaliers by an average of 0 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 132, SAC 126.