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Boston Celtics at New York Knicks: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → New York Knicks →

The edge goes to the Knicks at home against the Celtics on Sunday, March 14, at about 74%. That is a real edge, but the Celtics are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Knicks 74%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 111, New York Knicks 118. The rating gap is 79 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Knicks on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026 and Jose Alvarado (NYK), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Celtics lead 8-7, with the Celtics outscoring the Knicks by an average of 2.3 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 103, BOS 107.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Knicks2-3, -2.8 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Knicks.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 23: NYK 103, BOS 107
  • Apr 9: BOS 106, NYK 112
  • Feb 8: NYK 111, BOS 89
  • Dec 2: NYK 117, BOS 123
  • Oct 24: BOS 95, NYK 105

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
New York Knicks
  • Jose Alvarado Out · back Oct 28

Win Meter

26%
74%
CelticsKnicks

Projected score: Celtics 111, Knicks 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

26%
74%
CelticsKnicks

Matchup at a glance

BOSNYK
Record1-10-3
Last 5LLLLWWWLLL
Points per game110101.7
Allowed per game112108
Days of rest––
Rating16091688

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