Our ratings lean toward the Timberwolves at home against the 76ers on Saturday, March 13, at about 72%. That is a real edge, but the 76ers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Timberwolves 72%, with a projected score of Philadelphia 76ers 112, Minnesota Timberwolves 117. The rating gap is 64 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Timberwolves on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6. The Timberwolves are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The 76ers score 110 a game and allow 107. The Timberwolves score 121 and allow 97.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 103.9 for the 76ers and 114 for the Timberwolves, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The 76ers' offense is the stronger unit against the Timberwolves' defense.
The Timberwolves should find points against the 76ers' defense, which has been giving up 107.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI), Joel Embiid (PHI), and Anthony Edwards (MIN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the 76ers outscoring the Timberwolves by an average of 5 points per game. The last meeting was MIN 103, PHI 115.