Our ratings lean toward the Bulls at home against the Grizzlies on Saturday, March 13, at about 64%. That is a real edge, but the Grizzlies are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Bulls 64%, with a projected score of Memphis Grizzlies 113, Chicago Bulls 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 36 times in 100 games like this, the Grizzlies would win.
Recent form
The Grizzlies are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.6. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Grizzlies score 119 a game and allow 107.7. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 123.5 for the Grizzlies and 111.2 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Grizzlies.
The Bulls should find points against the Grizzlies' defense, which has been giving up 107.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026 and Patrick Williams (CHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Karim Lopez (MEM), Isaiah Stewart (MEM), and Noa Essengue (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Bulls outscoring the Grizzlies by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was CHI 124, MEM 125.