Game preview · Sat 4:00 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at Charlotte Hornets: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Charlotte Hornets →

The edge goes to the Hornets at home against the Suns on Saturday, March 13, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 70%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 112, Charlotte Hornets 117. The rating gap is 46 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Hornets on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Drew Timme (PHX), Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Naz Reid (CHA). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Hornets outscoring the Suns by an average of 3 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 107, CHA 127.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-L-W-L-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Hornets.

Recent meetings

  • Apr 2: PHX 107, CHA 127
  • Mar 8: CHA 99, PHX 111
  • Jan 12: CHA 113, PHX 120
  • Jan 7: PHX 104, CHA 115

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Out · back Oct 30
  • Drew Timme Out
Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 28
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 28
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
  • Naz Reid Probable · back Oct 26

Win Meter

30%
70%
SunsHornets

Projected score: Suns 112, Hornets 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

30%
70%
SunsHornets

Matchup at a glance

PHXCHA
Record1-12-1
Last 5LLLLWWLWLW
Points per game107102
Allowed per game123113.7
Days of rest––
Rating15101556

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