Game preview · Fri 8:00 PM MT

Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Lakers: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Los Angeles Lakers →

The Win Meter favors the Lakers at home against the Cavaliers on Friday, March 12, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Cavaliers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Lakers 65%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 113, Los Angeles Lakers 117. The rating gap is 9 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Lakers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.

Recent form

The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Lakers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, and Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 3-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Lakers by an average of 13 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 113, LAL 127.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin
Lakers3-2, +2.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Lakers arrive in better form (L-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Lakers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 31: CLE 113, LAL 127
  • Jan 28: LAL 99, CLE 129
  • Dec 31: CLE 122, LAL 110
  • Oct 30: LAL 110, CLE 134

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27

Win Meter

35%
65%
CavaliersLakers

Projected score: Cavaliers 113, Lakers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

35%
65%
CavaliersLakers

Matchup at a glance

CLELAL
Record1-13-0
Last 5LLLLWLLWWW
Points per game115.5128
Allowed per game117.5115
Days of rest––
Rating15741583

More