The edge goes to the Jazz at home against the Kings on Friday, March 12, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Jazz 61%, with a projected score of Sacramento Kings 113, Utah Jazz 116. The rating gap is 20 points in favor of the Kings, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Jazz on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.
Recent form
The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10. The Jazz are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Kings score 109.3 a game and allow 124. The Jazz score 115.3 and allow 124.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117 for the Kings and 119.7 for the Jazz, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Jazz have been tough to score on, which should slow the Kings.
The Kings have defended better than the Jazz have scored, so the Jazz may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027, Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, and Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC) and Jaxson Hayes (UTA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Kings lead 6-2, with the Kings outscoring the Jazz by an average of 6.4 points per game. The last meeting was UTA 111, SAC 116.