Recent form is the story in Toronto Raptors at New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, March 12. The Raptors have won 3 of their last 5, while the Pelicans have won 0.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 56%, with a projected score of Toronto Raptors 115, New Orleans Pelicans 114. The rating gap is 139 points in favor of the Raptors, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Pelicans on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
The recent-form gap
The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4. The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Raptors score 113.7 a game and allow 103.7. The Pelicans score 124.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 120.9 for the Raptors and 114.2 for the Pelicans, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans have been tough to score on, which should slow the Raptors.
The Pelicans should find points against the Raptors' defense, which has been giving up 103.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026 and Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Kawhi Leonard (TOR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Raptors lead 3-1, with the Raptors outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 9.2 points per game. The last meeting was NOP 106, TOR 119.