Cleveland Cavaliers at LA Clippers on Thursday, March 11 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Clippers at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 56%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 114, LA Clippers 115. The rating gap is 55 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Cavaliers would win.
Recent form
The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Injuries to watch
Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 3-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Clippers by an average of 10 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 124, LAC 91.