Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls on Thursday, March 11 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 56%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 56%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 115, Chicago Bulls 114. The rating gap is 139 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 44 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Drew Timme (PHX), and Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Noa Essengue (CHI) and Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 3-1, with the Suns outscoring the Bulls by an average of 4.5 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 120, CHI 110.