The edge goes to the Trail Blazers at home against the Nuggets on Wednesday, March 10, at about 58%. That is a real edge, but the Nuggets are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 58%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 114, Portland Trail Blazers 116. The rating gap is 46 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Trail Blazers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 42 times in 100 games like this, the Nuggets would win.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Alpha Diallo (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN), Chris Youngblood (POR), and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 5-3, with the Nuggets outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 11.5 points per game. The last meeting was POR 132, DEN 137.