Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors on Tuesday, March 9 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Trail Blazers at only 52%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Trail Blazers 52%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 115, Golden State Warriors 114. The rating gap is 117 points in favor of the Trail Blazers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 48 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.
Recent form
The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026, Jimmy Butler (GSW), expected back Jan 2, 2027, and Moses Moody (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR), Branden Carlson (POR), Gui Santos (GSW), and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 4-3, with the Warriors outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 8 points per game. The last meeting was POR 97, GSW 119.