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Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons: preview and Win Meter

Cleveland Cavaliers → Detroit Pistons →

Recent form is the story in Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons on Tuesday, March 9. The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5, while the Cavaliers have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 73%, with a projected score of Cleveland Cavaliers 111, Detroit Pistons 118. The rating gap is 75 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.

A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 4 like it goes the other way.

The recent-form gap

The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14. The Pistons are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.6.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE), and Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET) and Isaiah Joe (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 9-6, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Pistons by an average of 3.4 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 125, DET 94.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin
Pistons4-1, +5.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pistons.

Recent meetings

  • May 17: CLE 125, DET 94 (playoffs)
  • May 15: DET 115, CLE 94 (playoffs)
  • May 13: CLE 117, DET 113 (playoffs)
  • May 11: DET 103, CLE 112 (playoffs)
  • May 9: DET 109, CLE 116 (playoffs)

Injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out
Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Nov 9
  • Isaiah Joe Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

27%
73%
CavaliersPistons

Projected score: Cavaliers 111, Pistons 118

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

27%
73%
CavaliersPistons

Matchup at a glance

CLEDET
Record1-13-0
Last 5LLLLWWLWWW
Points per game115.5118.3
Allowed per game117.5105.7
Days of rest––
Rating15741649

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