Game preview · Tue 5:00 PM MT

Phoenix Suns at Orlando Magic: preview and Win Meter

Phoenix Suns → Orlando Magic →

The edge goes to the Magic at home against the Suns on Tuesday, March 9, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Magic 68%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 112, Orlando Magic 117. The rating gap is 28 points in favor of the Magic, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Magic on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Suns would win.

Recent form

The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Magic are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -11.2.

The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.

The Magic were beaten 115-93 at home by MIN not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, Oso Ighodaro (PHX), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Drew Timme (PHX), Jonathan Isaac (ORL), expected back Oct 28, 2026, and Izaiyah Nelson (ORL), expected back Nov 18, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jalen Suggs (ORL). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Magic lead 3-1, with the Magic outscoring the Suns by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 111, ORL 115.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Suns1-4, -13.2 avg margin
Magic1-4, -11.2 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 7 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Magic.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 31: PHX 111, ORL 115
  • Feb 21: ORL 110, PHX 113
  • Dec 8: PHX 110, ORL 115
  • Nov 18: ORL 109, PHX 99

Injury report

Phoenix Suns
  • Mark Williams Out · back Feb 3
  • Oso Ighodaro Out · back Oct 30
  • Drew Timme Out
Orlando Magic
  • Jonathan Isaac Out · back Oct 28
  • Izaiyah Nelson Out · back Nov 18
  • Noah Penda Out · back Nov 18
  • Paolo Banchero Out · back Nov 22
  • Jalen Suggs Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

32%
68%
SunsMagic

Projected score: Suns 112, Magic 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

32%
68%
SunsMagic

Matchup at a glance

PHXORL
Record1-11-2
Last 5LLLLWLLLLW
Points per game107109.7
Allowed per game123116.3
Days of rest––
Rating15101538

More