The edge goes to the Nuggets on the road against the Kings on Monday, March 8, at about 70%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Nuggets 70%, with a projected score of Denver Nuggets 117, Sacramento Kings 112. The rating gap is 250 points in favor of the Nuggets, and home court and rest add about 99 rating points for the Kings on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 3 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nuggets are 1-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.
The Nuggets were beaten 112-96 on the road by MIN not long ago.
The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Spencer Jones (DEN), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Julian Strawther (DEN), expected back Nov 29, 2026, Dylan Cardwell (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Maxime Raynaud (SAC), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ben Simmons (SAC), expected back Oct 1, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Cameron Johnson (DEN), Alpha Diallo (DEN), and Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Nuggets lead 7-1, with the Nuggets outscoring the Kings by an average of 8.7 points per game. The last meeting was DEN 136, SAC 105.