The Win Meter favors the Heat at home against the Suns on Monday, March 8, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Suns are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Heat 60%, with a projected score of Phoenix Suns 113, Miami Heat 116. The rating gap is 29 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Heat on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Suns would win.
Recent form
The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2. The Heat are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -4.4.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
The Heat's best recent win was 143-117 at home against ATL.
The Heat were beaten 131-106 at home by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027 and Drew Timme (PHX).
Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX) and Pelle Larsson (MIA). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Heat lead 3-1, with the Heat outscoring the Suns by an average of 5.5 points per game. The last meeting was MIA 111, PHX 102.