Utah Jazz at Philadelphia 76ers on Monday, March 8 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the 76ers about a 87% chance, and the Jazz would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the 76ers 87%, with a projected score of Utah Jazz 109, Philadelphia 76ers 120. The rating gap is 226 points in favor of the 76ers, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Jazz are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.2. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.
The Jazz's best recent win was 147-101 at home against MEM.
The Jazz were beaten 131-107 on the road by LAL not long ago.
The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Jazz score 115.3 a game and allow 124.7. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 111.2 for the Jazz and 117.4 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Jazz's offense is the stronger unit against the 76ers' defense.
The Jazz have defended better than the 76ers have scored, so the 76ers may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jusuf Nurkic (UTA), expected back Nov 4, 2026, Trey Alexander (UTA), expected back Oct 26, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 4-0, with the 76ers outscoring the Jazz by an average of 5.3 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 126, UTA 116.