The edge goes to the Hornets on the road against the Pacers on Monday, March 8, at about 60%. That is a real edge, but the Pacers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Hornets 60%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 116, Indiana Pacers 113. The rating gap is 168 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Pacers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Pacers would win.
Recent form
The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Pacers are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.8.
The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.
The Pacers' best recent win was 136-109 on the road against BKN.
The Pacers were beaten 121-105 at home by DAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Hornets score 102 a game and allow 113.7. The Pacers score 121.3 and allow 116.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 109.4 for the Hornets and 117.5 for the Pacers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pacers have been tough to score on, which should slow the Hornets.
The Pacers should find points against the Hornets' defense, which has been giving up 113.7.
Injuries to watch
Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, T.J. McConnell (IND), expected back Oct 26, 2026, and Johnny Furphy (IND), expected back Jan 2, 2027.
Day to day or questionable: Naz Reid (CHA) and Ivica Zubac (IND). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hornets lead 4-3, with the Hornets outscoring the Pacers by an average of 6.3 points per game. The last meeting was IND 108, CHA 129.