Recent form is the story in Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors on Sunday, March 7. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 5, while the Warriors have won 1.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Rockets 60%, with a projected score of Houston Rockets 116, Golden State Warriors 113. The rating gap is 169 points in favor of the Rockets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Warriors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 40 times in 100 games like this, the Warriors would win.
The recent-form gap
The Rockets are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +3. The Warriors are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.8.
The Rockets' best recent win was 128-110 at home against DAL.
The Rockets were beaten 98-78 at home by LAL not long ago.
The Warriors were beaten 127-105 on the road by LAL not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Rockets score 121 a game and allow 111.3. The Warriors score 111.7 and allow 123. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 122 for the Rockets and 111.5 for the Warriors, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
Injuries to watch
Out: Steven Adams (HOU), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Marcus Smart (HOU), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Quadir Copeland (HOU), Julian Phillips (HOU), and Kristaps Porzingis (GSW), expected back Dec 1, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Gui Santos (GSW) and Charles Bassey (GSW). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Warriors lead 8-7, with the Warriors outscoring the Rockets by an average of 0.3 points per game. The last meeting was HOU 117, GSW 116.