The edge goes to the Spurs at home against the Knicks on Sunday, March 7, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Knicks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Spurs 63%, with a projected score of New York Knicks 113, San Antonio Spurs 116. The rating gap is 7 points in favor of the Knicks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Spurs on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Knicks would win.
Recent form
The Knicks are 0-3 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -2.8. The Spurs are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -1.
The Spurs' best recent win was 122-106 on the road against DAL.
Offense against defense
The Knicks score 101.7 a game and allow 108. The Spurs score 112 and allow 112. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 106.9 for the Knicks and 110 for the Spurs, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Spurs have been tough to score on, which should slow the Knicks.
Injuries to watch
Out: Jayden Quaintance (SAS), expected back Dec 3, 2026 and Tobias Harris (SAS), expected back Oct 27, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Jose Alvarado (NYK). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Knicks lead 7-3, with the Knicks outscoring the Spurs by an average of 3.4 points per game. The last meeting was NYK 94, SAS 90.