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LA Clippers at Sacramento Kings: preview and Win Meter

LA Clippers → Sacramento Kings →

Our ratings lean toward the Clippers on the road against the Kings on Saturday, March 6, at about 61%. That is a real edge, but the Kings are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Clippers 61%, with a projected score of LA Clippers 116, Sacramento Kings 113. The rating gap is 179 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Kings on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 39 times in 100 games like this, the Kings would win.

Recent form

The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2. The Kings are 0-3 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -10.

The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.

The Kings were beaten 121-96 on the road by LAC not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Clippers score 113 a game and allow 109.7. The Kings score 109.3 and allow 124. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 118.5 for the Clippers and 109.5 for the Kings, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Kings have been tough to score on, which should slow the Clippers.

Injuries to watch

Out: Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Jordan Miller (LAC), expected back Mar 2, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Keegan Murray (SAC). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 8-1, with the Clippers outscoring the Kings by an average of 12.9 points per game. The last meeting was SAC 96, LAC 121.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Clippers2-3, +2 avg margin
Kings1-4, -10 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
113
109.3
Points allowed
109.7
124
Matchup math
118.5
109.5
■ Clippers■ Kings

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Clippers: about 118.5 points expected against 109.5.
  • Health: 8 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Kings.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 21: SAC 96, LAC 121
  • Apr 5: LAC 138, SAC 109
  • Mar 14: SAC 118, LAC 109
  • Feb 6: LAC 114, SAC 111
  • Dec 30: SAC 90, LAC 131

Injury report

LA Clippers
  • Bradley Beal Out · back Nov 8
  • Max Strus Out · back Nov 8
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out · back Nov 8
  • Brandon Ingram Out · back Nov 8
  • Jordan Miller Out · back Mar 2
Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell Out · back Nov 2
  • Maxime Raynaud Out · back Nov 2
  • Ben Simmons Out · back Oct 1
  • Keegan Murray Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

61%
39%
ClippersKings

Projected score: Clippers 116, Kings 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

61%
39%
ClippersKings

Matchup at a glance

LACSAC
Record1-20-3
Last 5WLWLLWLLLL
Points per game113109.3
Allowed per game109.7124
Days of rest––
Rating15191340

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