Recent form is the story in New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday, March 6. The Grizzlies have won 3 of their last 5, while the Pelicans have won 0.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Grizzlies 59%, with a projected score of New Orleans Pelicans 113, Memphis Grizzlies 116. The rating gap is 39 points in favor of the Pelicans, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Grizzlies on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Pelicans would win.
The recent-form gap
The Pelicans are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Grizzlies are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.6.
The Pelicans were beaten 144-118 on the road by BOS not long ago.
The Grizzlies' best recent win was 123-103 at home against UTA.
The Grizzlies were beaten 147-101 on the road by UTA not long ago.
Offense against defense
The Pelicans score 124.7 a game and allow 128. The Grizzlies score 119 and allow 107.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 116.2 for the Pelicans and 123.5 for the Grizzlies, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Pelicans' offense is the stronger unit against the Grizzlies' defense.
The Pelicans have defended better than the Grizzlies have scored, so the Grizzlies may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Yves Missi (NOP), expected back Nov 2, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Zach Edey (MEM) and Karim Lopez (MEM). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Grizzlies lead 6-2, with the Grizzlies outscoring the Pelicans by an average of 4 points per game. The last meeting was MEM 106, NOP 114.