The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Hawks on Saturday, March 6, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Hawks are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 63%, with a projected score of Atlanta Hawks 113, Cleveland Cavaliers 116. The rating gap is 6 points in favor of the Hawks, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Hawks would win.
Recent form
The Hawks are 2-1 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -6.6. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.
The Hawks' best recent win was 128-81 on the road against CHA.
The Hawks were beaten 140-89 at home by NYK not long ago.
The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Henri Veesaar (ATL), expected back Jul 1, 2027, Mouhamed Gueye (ATL), expected back Nov 20, 2026, Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).
Day to day or questionable: RayJ Dennis (ATL), Keshon Gilbert (ATL), and Jock Landale (ATL). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Hawks lead 4-3, with the Hawks outscoring the Cavaliers by an average of 2.9 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 102, ATL 124.