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Charlotte Hornets at Chicago Bulls: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Chicago Bulls →

Our ratings lean toward the Hornets on the road against the Bulls on Saturday, March 6, at about 62%. That is a real edge, but the Bulls are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Hornets 62%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 116, Chicago Bulls 113. The rating gap is 185 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Bulls on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 38 times in 100 games like this, the Bulls would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The Bulls are 1-2 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -17.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The Bulls were beaten 135-92 on the road by TOR not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Hornets score 102 a game and allow 113.7. The Bulls score 114.7 and allow 128. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 115 for the Hornets and 114.2 for the Bulls, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Bulls have been tough to score on, which should slow the Hornets.

Injuries to watch

Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, and Nicolas Claxton (CHI), expected back Nov 4, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Naz Reid (CHA), Noa Essengue (CHI), and Patrick Williams (CHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Hornets outscoring the Bulls by an average of 2 points per game. The last meeting was CHA 131, CHI 99.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin
Bulls1-4, -17 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
102
114.7
Points allowed
113.7
128
Matchup math
115
114.2
■ Hornets■ Bulls

Keys to the game

  • The Hornets arrive in better form (W-L-W-L-W against L-L-L-W-L).
  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Bulls.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 24: CHA 131, CHI 99
  • Jan 3: CHA 112, CHI 99
  • Dec 12: CHI 129, CHA 126
  • Nov 28: CHI 116, CHA 123
  • Apr 6: CHI 131, CHA 117

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 28
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 28
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
  • Naz Reid Probable · back Oct 26
Chicago Bulls
  • Nicolas Claxton Out · back Nov 4
  • Noa Essengue Questionable · back Oct 26
  • Patrick Williams Questionable · back Oct 26

Win Meter

62%
38%
HornetsBulls

Projected score: Hornets 116, Bulls 113

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

62%
38%
HornetsBulls

Matchup at a glance

CHACHI
Record2-11-2
Last 5WLWLWLLLWL
Points per game102114.7
Allowed per game113.7128
Days of rest––
Rating15561371

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