Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns on Friday, March 5 is about as close to a coin flip as the ratings get, with the Suns at only 50%. Small things like rest, health and shooting variance should decide it.
Why it is so close
The Win Meter reads the Suns 50%, with a projected score of Minnesota Timberwolves 115, Phoenix Suns 115. The rating gap is 100 points in favor of the Timberwolves, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 50 times in 100 games like this, the Timberwolves would win.
Recent form
The Timberwolves are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.
The Timberwolves' best recent win was 131-106 on the road against MIA.
The Timberwolves were beaten 139-109 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Donte DiVincenzo (MIN), expected back Apr 2, 2027, Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Drew Timme (PHX).
Day to day or questionable: Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Timberwolves lead 5-2, with the Timberwolves outscoring the Suns by an average of 7.4 points per game. The last meeting was PHX 104, MIN 116.