The edge goes to the Raptors at home against the Trail Blazers on Friday, March 5, at about 65%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.
How the Win Meter reads
The Win Meter reads the Raptors 65%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 113, Toronto Raptors 116. The two teams are rated almost level, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Raptors on top of that.
Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 35 times in 100 games like this, the Trail Blazers would win.
Recent form
The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Raptors are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +4.
The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.
The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.
The Raptors' best recent win was 135-92 at home against CHI.
The Raptors were beaten 117-94 on the road by MIN not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027 and Nate Bittle (TOR), expected back Oct 28, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR), Branden Carlson (POR), and Kawhi Leonard (TOR). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the series is even, with the Raptors outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 0.8 points per game. The last meeting was TOR 110, POR 98.