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Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons: preview and Win Meter

Boston Celtics → Detroit Pistons →

Recent form is the story in Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons on Friday, March 5. The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5, while the Celtics have won 1.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Pistons 69%, with a projected score of Boston Celtics 112, Detroit Pistons 117. The rating gap is 40 points in favor of the Pistons, and home court and rest add about 101 rating points for the Pistons on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 31 times in 100 games like this, the Celtics would win.

The recent-form gap

The Celtics are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -8.4. The Pistons are 3-0 this season and 4-1 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +5.6.

The Celtics were beaten 113-97 at home by PHI not long ago.

The Pistons' best recent win was 115-94 on the road against CLE.

The Pistons were beaten 125-94 at home by CLE not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Devin Carter (BOS), expected back Nov 8, 2026 and Jalen Duren (DET), expected back Nov 9, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Ausar Thompson (DET) and Isaiah Joe (DET). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Pistons lead 5-4, with the Celtics outscoring the Pistons by an average of 0.1 points per game. The last meeting was BOS 113, DET 121.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Celtics1-4, -8.4 avg margin
Pistons4-1, +5.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • The Pistons arrive in better form (W-L-W-W-W against L-L-L-L-W).
  • Health: 2 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Pistons.

Recent meetings

  • Oct 20: BOS 113, DET 121
  • Jan 19: BOS 103, DET 104
  • Dec 15: DET 112, BOS 105
  • Nov 26: DET 114, BOS 117
  • Oct 26: BOS 113, DET 119

Injury report

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter Out · back Nov 8
Detroit Pistons
  • Ausar Thompson Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Jalen Duren Out · back Nov 9
  • Isaiah Joe Day to day · back Oct 27

Win Meter

31%
69%
CelticsPistons

Projected score: Celtics 112, Pistons 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

31%
69%
CelticsPistons

Matchup at a glance

BOSDET
Record1-13-0
Last 5LLLLWWLWWW
Points per game110118.3
Allowed per game112105.7
Days of rest––
Rating16091649

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