Brooklyn Nets at LA Clippers on Thursday, March 4 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Clippers about a 87% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Clippers 87%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 109, LA Clippers 121. The rating gap is 235 points in favor of the Clippers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Clippers on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Clippers are 1-2 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Clippers' best recent win was 121-96 at home against SAC.
Offense against defense
The Nets score 111 a game and allow 123.7. The Clippers score 113 and allow 109.7. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 110.4 for the Nets and 118.4 for the Clippers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.
The Nets have defended better than the Clippers have scored, so the Clippers may need to find offense elsewhere.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Bradley Beal (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Max Strus (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, Yanic Konan Niederhauser (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026, and Brandon Ingram (LAC), expected back Nov 8, 2026.
Day to day or questionable: Mikel Brown Jr. (BKN). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Clippers lead 4-0, with the Clippers outscoring the Nets by an average of 36 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 89, LAC 126.