Game preview · Thu 5:00 PM MT

Los Angeles Lakers at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Los Angeles Lakers → Philadelphia 76ers →

The Win Meter favors the 76ers at home against the Lakers on Thursday, March 4, at about 59%. That is a real edge, but the Lakers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 59%, with a projected score of Los Angeles Lakers 113, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 37 points in favor of the Lakers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 41 times in 100 games like this, the Lakers would win.

Recent form

The Lakers are 3-0 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of +2.2. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.

The Lakers' best recent win was 127-105 at home against GSW.

The Lakers were beaten 131-108 at home by OKC not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Lakers score 128 a game and allow 115. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 117.5 for the Lakers and 112.5 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The Lakers' offense is the stronger unit against the 76ers' defense.

The Lakers have defended better than the 76ers have scored, so the 76ers may need to find offense elsewhere.

Injuries to watch

Out: Cameron Carr (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Adou Thiero (LAL), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027, and Tacko Fall (PHI), expected back Oct 28, 2026.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Lakers lead 3-1, with the Lakers outscoring the 76ers by an average of 1 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 115, LAL 119.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Lakers3-2, +2.2 avg margin
76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
128
110
Points allowed
115
107
Matchup math
117.5
112.5
■ Lakers■ 76ers

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the Lakers: about 117.5 points expected against 112.5.
  • Health: 5 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 5: PHI 115, LAL 119
  • Dec 7: LAL 112, PHI 108
  • Jan 28: LAL 104, PHI 118
  • Nov 8: PHI 106, LAL 116

Injury report

Los Angeles Lakers
  • Cameron Carr Out · back Oct 27
  • Adou Thiero Out · back Oct 27
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

41%
59%
Lakers76ers

Projected score: Lakers 113, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

41%
59%
Lakers76ers

Matchup at a glance

LALPHI
Record3-03-1
Last 5LLWWWLWWWL
Points per game128110
Allowed per game115107
Days of rest––
Rating15831546

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