Game preview · Thu 5:00 PM MT

Portland Trail Blazers at Cleveland Cavaliers: preview and Win Meter

Portland Trail Blazers → Cleveland Cavaliers →

The Win Meter favors the Cavaliers at home against the Trail Blazers on Thursday, March 4, at about 68%. That is a real edge, but the Trail Blazers are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the Cavaliers 68%, with a projected score of Portland Trail Blazers 112, Cleveland Cavaliers 117. The rating gap is 30 points in favor of the Cavaliers, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Cavaliers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 32 times in 100 games like this, the Trail Blazers would win.

Recent form

The Trail Blazers are 2-0 this season and 2-3 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -0.6. The Cavaliers are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -14.

The Trail Blazers' best recent win was 124-83 at home against PHX.

The Trail Blazers were beaten 114-93 at home by SAS not long ago.

The Cavaliers were beaten 130-93 at home by NYK not long ago.

Injuries to watch

Out: Shaedon Sharpe (POR), expected back Mar 2, 2027, Khalifa Diop (CLE), Nae'Qwan Tomlin (CLE), and Ernest Udeh, Jr. (CLE).

Day to day or questionable: Chris Youngblood (POR) and Branden Carlson (POR). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the Cavaliers lead 3-1, with the Cavaliers outscoring the Trail Blazers by an average of 5.5 points per game. The last meeting was CLE 130, POR 111.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Trail Blazers2-3, -0.6 avg margin
Cavaliers1-4, -14 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Keys to the game

  • Health: 4 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the Cavaliers.

Recent meetings

  • Feb 1: CLE 130, POR 111
  • Dec 3: POR 122, CLE 110
  • Mar 25: CLE 122, POR 111
  • Mar 2: POR 129, CLE 133

Injury report

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Shaedon Sharpe Out · back Mar 2
  • Chris Youngblood Day to day · back Oct 27
  • Branden Carlson Day to day · back Oct 27
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Khalifa Diop Out
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin Out
  • Ernest Udeh, Jr. Out

Win Meter

32%
68%
Trail BlazersCavaliers

Projected score: Trail Blazers 112, Cavaliers 117

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

32%
68%
Trail BlazersCavaliers

Matchup at a glance

PORCLE
Record2-01-1
Last 5LLLWWLLLLW
Points per game126115.5
Allowed per game101.5117.5
Days of rest––
Rating15441574

More