Brooklyn Nets at Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, March 3 looks like a mismatch on paper. Our ratings give the Suns about a 87% chance, and the Nets would need an unusual night to change that.
Why the gap is wide
The Win Meter reads the Suns 87%, with a projected score of Brooklyn Nets 109, Phoenix Suns 120. The rating gap is 226 points in favor of the Suns, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the Suns on top of that.
A reading this high has real meaning, but upsets of this size happen. Nearly one game in 8 like it goes the other way.
Recent form
The Nets are 0-3 this season and 0-5 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -18. The Suns are 1-1 this season and 1-4 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13.2.
The Nets were beaten 136-101 on the road by TOR not long ago.
The Suns were beaten 124-83 on the road by POR not long ago.
Injuries to watch
Out: Tyler Bilodeau (BKN), expected back Oct 27, 2026, Mark Williams (PHX), expected back Feb 3, 2027, and Drew Timme (PHX).
Day to day or questionable: Mikel Brown Jr. (BKN) and Oso Ighodaro (PHX). Their status can change before tip-off.
The season series
In our records of recent meetings, the Suns lead 3-1, with the Suns outscoring the Nets by an average of 6.8 points per game. The last meeting was BKN 102, PHX 106.