Game preview · Wed 5:00 PM MT

Charlotte Hornets at Philadelphia 76ers: preview and Win Meter

Charlotte Hornets → Philadelphia 76ers →

Our ratings lean toward the 76ers at home against the Hornets on Wednesday, March 3, at about 63%. That is a real edge, but the Hornets are far from out of it.

How the Win Meter reads

The Win Meter reads the 76ers 63%, with a projected score of Charlotte Hornets 113, Philadelphia 76ers 116. The rating gap is 10 points in favor of the Hornets, and home court and rest add about 100 rating points for the 76ers on top of that.

Readings in this range leave plenty of room for the other side. About 37 times in 100 games like this, the Hornets would win.

Recent form

The Hornets are 2-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -13. The 76ers are 3-1 this season and 3-2 in their last 5 games, with an average margin of -3.6.

The Hornets were beaten 128-81 at home by ATL not long ago.

The 76ers were beaten 144-114 at home by NYK not long ago.

Offense against defense

The Hornets score 102 a game and allow 113.7. The 76ers score 110 and allow 107. Pairing each offense with the other defense points to about 104.5 for the Hornets and 111.9 for the 76ers, a simple check on the Win Meter's projection.

The 76ers have been tough to score on, which should slow the Hornets.

Injuries to watch

Out: Coby White (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Kon Knueppel (CHA), expected back Oct 28, 2026, Grant Williams (CHA), expected back Oct 30, 2026, Dominick Barlow (PHI), expected back Nov 2, 2026, and Ariel Hukporti (PHI), expected back Oct 1, 2027.

Day to day or questionable: Jabari Walker (PHI) and Joel Embiid (PHI). Their status can change before tip-off.

The season series

In our records of recent meetings, the 76ers lead 6-1, with the 76ers outscoring the Hornets by an average of 0.3 points per game. The last meeting was PHI 118, CHA 114.

Last five games

Oldest to newest. Tap a result for the score.

Hornets3-2, -13 avg margin
76ers3-2, -3.6 avg margin

Pick a result above.

Offense against defense

Scoring per game. Matchup math pairs each offense with the other team's defense.

Points scored
102
110
Points allowed
113.7
107
Matchup math
104.5
111.9
■ Hornets■ 76ers

Keys to the game

  • Scoring math favors the 76ers: about 111.9 points expected against 104.5.
  • Health: 6 players are listed as out, so watch who steps into the rotation.
  • Home court is worth about three and a half points in our model, which helps the 76ers.

Recent meetings

  • Mar 28: PHI 118, CHA 114
  • Jan 26: PHI 93, CHA 130
  • Oct 25: CHA 121, PHI 125
  • Dec 20: CHA 98, PHI 108
  • Dec 16: PHI 121, CHA 108

Injury report

Charlotte Hornets
  • Coby White Out · back Oct 28
  • Kon Knueppel Out · back Oct 28
  • Grant Williams Out · back Oct 30
Philadelphia 76ers
  • Dominick Barlow Out · back Nov 2
  • Ariel Hukporti Out · back Oct 1
  • Tacko Fall Out · back Oct 28
  • Jabari Walker Day to day · back Oct 28
  • Joel Embiid Day to day · back Oct 28

Win Meter

37%
63%
Hornets76ers

Projected score: Hornets 113, 76ers 116

Model estimate for information and entertainment.

Win Meter lab

The reading comes from the rating gap plus a bonus for home court and rest. Slide the bonus to see how much it matters.

37%
63%
Hornets76ers

Matchup at a glance

CHAPHI
Record2-13-1
Last 5WLWLWLWWWL
Points per game102110
Allowed per game113.7107
Days of rest––
Rating15561546

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